A recent poll in the Washington Post–ABC News on Tuesday assessed the potential confrontations among President Donald Trump and the main Democrat competitors. The results indicate that the popularity of the president has diminished among independents, a category which favored him in 2016. The findings show a change in the political climate, which poses significant challenges for Trump for succession, and is likely to rely on other methods such as taking advantage of the Electoral College by prevailing in 2016, while at the same time being driven away by Democrats.
As per the result, Joe Biden, the former Vice President, is likely to take the most significant lead over Trump among the five registered candidates. According to the poll, the results indicate all five candidates to lead Trump by a significant margin. Joe Biden is likely to get 17 points lead over Trump, Elizabeth Warren to take 15 points lead, Bernie Sanders to earn 14 points lead, Pete Buttigieg, to receive 11 points lead, and Kamala Harris to take 9 points to lead over Trump. The president’s possible trouble indicator is that almost one-third of Republican supporters indicated that they preferred a different nominee from the Republican Party, while one fourth said they strongly felt that the GOP was supposed to replace Trump by now. Although Trump still enjoys getting maximum votes from Republican voters, this poll has indicated the unhappiness of the voters regarding the GOP.
Although that doesn’t suggest that the votes are moving away from the Republicans, it does mean the voters are not very happy with the selection either. It is a critical factor, as even a minor change within the republicans towards Trump can change the scenario. The new survey would likely lead to a big Democratic victory. It can be even more than what Hillary Clinton was supposed to lead over Trump in the 2016 general elections. Hence, if Trump wants to hold on to his lead, he has to use the Electoral College and use the majority that he enjoys there to narrow out in this situation.